Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey Latest : Aiming Taiwan with Massive Intensification

As of the latest data from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey, now Tropical Storm Kong-Rey (23W), is consolidating with increased wind speeds and is expected to intensify significantly. Here is the current update as of 09:00 UTC on October 28, 2024, regarding its position, intensity, and forecast track, alongside its potential impacts on Taiwan and nearby areas.

Current Position and Movement of Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey

As of 06:00 UTC on October 28, Kong-Rey is positioned near 16.6°N, 128.9°E, approximately 597 nautical miles south of Kadena Air Base, Japan. The storm has been moving westward at 7 knots (13 km/h) in the past six hours and is anticipated to continue on this trajectory in the short term.

Intensity and Wind Field of Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey

Tropical Storm Kong-Rey currently has maximum sustained winds of 55 knots (102 km/h), with gusts up to 70 knots (130 km/h). Satellite observations have indicated a consolidating storm structure, with a well-defined low-level circulation center and substantial wind radii:

50-knot winds extend:

• 1. 70 nm to the northeast
  2. 65 nm to the southeast
  3. 120 nm to the southwest
  4. 100 nm to the northwest

34-knot winds extend:

• 1. 135 nm to the northeast
  2. 125 nm to the southeast
  3. 215 nm to the southwest
  4. 185 nm to the northwest

Forecasted Track and Intensity Changes of Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey

The JTWC’s forecast suggests that Kong-Rey will undergo rapid intensification over the next 48 hours, as it moves towards Taiwan:

12-Hour Forecast (18:00 UTC, October 28)

• • Position: 17.1°N, 127.7°E
  • Intensity: 65 knots (120 km/h), gusts up to 80 knots (148 km/h)
  • Wind Radii: 64-knot winds in all quadrants reaching up to 20 nm

24-Hour Forecast (06:00 UTC, October 29)

• • Position: 17.8°N, 126.5°E
  • Intensity: 80 knots (148 km/h), gusts up to 100 knots (185 km/h)
  • Wind Radii: 64-knot winds up to 40 nm northeast, 30 nm southwest

48-Hour Forecast (06:00 UTC, October 30)

• • Position: 19.4°N, 124.1°E
  • Intensity: 115 knots (213 km/h), gusts up to 140 knots (259 km/h)

72-Hour Forecast (06:00 UTC, October 31)

• • Expected to approach southeast Taiwan, likely at Category 3 strength with winds near 110 knots (204 km/h).

Read more:

Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey (23W) to bring disaster to Taiwan
Tropical Storm Kong-Rey to Intensify over Western Pacific
How to Predict a Tropical Cyclone? Best Tips for Cyclone Prediction

Long-Range Forecast and Impacts of Potential Typhoon Kong-Rey

The storm is expected to take a northwest path approaching Taiwan, likely reaching peak intensity by October 31 before starting a northward recurve influenced by a shifting subtropical ridge and a midlatitude trough.

*//Residents in Taiwan, the Ryukyu Islands, and southern Japan should prepare for intense typhoon conditions with possible landfall near southeast Taiwan within 72 hours//*

JTWC rates the current forecast confidence as medium due to circulation complexity and potential track variance.

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